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What Would Patton Say
About the Present War?
Victor Davis Hanson
Victor Davis Hanson is a senior fellow
at the Hoover Institution. This article is reprinted by permission from Imprimis, the national speech digest of Hillsdale
College, www.hillsdale.edu. The following is adopted from a lecture given during
a Hillsdale College cruise on the Rhine and Moselle rivers. What can we imagine
George Patton might say about the present war? Lots. Based on what he himself
said and wrote, his record in the field, and what scholars have written about
him, I think we have some reasonable ideas. I’ll begin with
Patton’s strategic thinking, then follow with suppositions about tactical
and operational doctrine. Patton was not merely a great tactician, as
Eisenhower seemed to think in deprecating his larger advice about the nature
and purpose of World War II. Indeed, he understood far more about strategy and
global politics than either Eisenhower or Bradley. A fine illustration of his
superior insight arose over disagreement regarding the “endgame” in
Europe: When the so-called Big Four--Roosevelt, Churchill, Stalin and Chiang
Kai-shek--apparently decided in late 1944 and early 1945 that the Allied
demarcation line was to be at the Elbe River rather than Berlin or the Polish
border, news quickly leaked out. As Patton was barreling through southern
Germany, he sensed quickly that the German armies in April and May were
preferring to surrender to Allied troops and thus fleeing toward the Western
front. Would an Allied capture of Berlin ahead of Russian troops really become
Eisenhower’s and Bradley’s predicted bloodbath if Germans were
assured that the city would end up in the American sphere of postbellum
influence? Patton listened to the
BBC almost nightly; he spoke pretty good French; during the war he read Rommel,
the memoirs of Napoleon and Caesar’s Gallic Wars. He was a learned person despite purportedly being
dyslexic. In any case, based on his extensive studies of European history, news
reports and meetings with those who had worked with the Russians, he believed
firmly that the Allies were making a horrible mistake by not driving on to
Berlin to bring all of Germany behind Anglo-American lines. If we could
paraphrase his thinking it might go something like this: We had fought World
War II in part to ensure that Eastern Europe, i.e., Poland and Czechoslovakia,
did not remain under the domination of Hitler’s totalitarian regime; yet
our policies at war’s end were guaranteeing that those countries would
fall under Stalin’s equally evil domination. In 1945, the U.S. was
providing annually the equivalent of several billion in today’s dollars
to the Soviet Union. Patton understood that in war one is forced as a matter of
practicality to make such odious alliances. But postwar peace, whose future
parameters would be adjudicated while the war was still on, was an entirely
different matter. The idea of a United Nations organization was developing; and
although many in the U.S. knew that Stalin had institutionalized mass murder,
such concerns were muted because it was thought at worst that he was an
aberration in an otherwise peaceful--and currently allied--Soviet system.
Patton wanted nothing of that naiveté, and instead loudly reminded all
that decisions made in 1945 would alter the future security of the U.S.
Montgomery in this case was in agreement with Patton, as was Churchill, who
likewise saw that the end of World War II might be the beginning of World War
III. All three shared a common desire: to take Berlin and extend democratic government
to the Russian border. In a famous exchange, Eisenhower asked, of
Patton’s request to move eastward immediately, “What in the world
for?” Patton without hesitation replied, “You shouldn’t have
to ask that. History will answer for you, Ike.” Bradley protested and
offered up the standard American fear of taking 100,000 casualties. Of course,
the Russians did take over 100,000 casualties storming Berlin, a fact later
used to argue for Eisenhower’s prescience. But again, the Russians
suffered such casualties because the Germans were fighting ferociously in order
that everybody behind them might surrender to the West. Had the Germans known
that the Allies were going to take Berlin, the city might have fallen after
brief resistance in the manner that other German strong points had fallen in
the west. What later became West Germany would have extended to Berlin, the
Allies would probably have occupied Czechoslovakia where the Third Army
finished the war, and we would not have had to make later concessions to Stalin
to save Austria and Greece. Patton had the further
idea that after defeating the Nazis, we should not destroy Germany’s
armored forces and dismantle its strategic forces, but instead use them as a
basis to re-arm the Wehrmacht for the purpose of stopping the Soviets, who enjoyed
an enormous superiority in respective land forces on the continent. This was
blasphemy to most experts in the U.S., made worse by Patton’s often
puerile and offensive slurs about Russian primitivism and barbarity. As a
result of his uncouth pronouncements, Patton’s otherwise astute and vocal
anti-Communism found little support, and indeed gave him very little margin of
tolerance when his proconsulship of Bavaria later ran into trouble. Yet this
very idea of German rehabilitation would--within months after his
dismissal--turn out to be the basis of NATO. Patton always realized
that armed forces serve political ends and create an immediate reality on the
battlefield that politicians argue over for years--that there are times when
audacious commanders can create favorable diplomatic situations impossible to
achieve by politicians even after years of negotiations. Well before Roosevelt
or Eisenhower, he understood that the new Germany was an ally, and the old
Soviets were now the new enemy of freedom. Applying
Patton’s thinking to today’s situation, we can first recognize the
so-called “war on terror” as a misnomer. There has never really
been a war against a method other than something like Pompey’s crusade
against the pirates or the British effort to stifle the slave trade. In fact,
we’re no more in a war against terror than Patton was fighting against
Tiger and Panzer tanks. Patton, who understood the hold of a radically
triumphalist Nazism on a previously demoralized German people, would have the intellectual
honesty to realize that we are at war with Islamic fascists, mostly from the
Middle East, who have played on the frustrations of mostly male, unemployed
young people, whose autocratic governments can’t provide the conditions
for decent employment and family life. A small group of Islamists appeals to
the angst of the disaffected through a nostalgic and reactionary turn to a
mythical Caliphate, in which religious purity trumps the material advantages of
a decadent West and protects Islamic youth from the contamination of foreign
gadgetry and pernicious ideas. In some ways, Hitler had created the same pathology
in Germany in the 1930s. Because of the Internet and globalization, Islamic
youth have first-hand knowledge of the U.S.--its splendor, power and luxury--that
both attracts and repels them, creating appetites forbidden in traditional and
tribal society. Thus the fascist terrorists, to be successful, and cognizant of
this paradoxical envy and desire, offer a mythical solution in lieu of real
social, political and economic reform that in short order would doom the power
of the patriarch, mullah and autocrat: Blame the imperialist Americans and the
Zionist Israelis who cause this self-induced misery. Even those who don’t
join the extremists, like most Germans of the late 1930s, don’t
mind--albeit on the cheap--seeing their perceived enemies take a fall, as long
as the consequences of terrorism are mostly positive in a psychological sense
without bringing them material suffering in recompense. Patton would also
agree that the remedy for this disease includes aid and reconstruction--helping
the defeated to rebuild under democratic auspices that would allow real reform.
In fact, he was sacked as proconsul largely because he was said to be too
interested in jump-starting German reconstruction at the price of accommodating
Germans once affiliated with the Nazi party. But Patton would insist that it is
only by military defeat and subsequent humiliation first that the supporters of terrorism against the West
will understand the wages of their support for Islamic fascism. Once people in
the Middle East, like the Germans, see that the Islamic fascists are
defeated--and that all who support and condone that ideology are synonymous
with it and thus must pay for their complicity through some measure of
sacrifice and suffering, radical bellicose Islamicism really will end. Patton
was quite clear about defeating, humiliating and then helping Germans--the
proper order of such a progression in attitude being absolutely critical. Applying these lessons to the first Gulf War, Patton
perhaps would have thought it mindless to mobilize an entire expeditionary
army--a rare event for a democracy--and then confine it to the Kuwaiti theatre
of operations, given that the problem was never merely the occupation of
Kuwait, but the tyrant in Baghdad who had a prior record of frequent
aggression. From the moment he took command in Normandy, Berlin was on
Patton’s mind as the only ultimate goal. As far as encouraging
allies to go along, again, Patton always talked more in terms of a fait
accompli: The general’s job is
to create favorable conditions on the ground that his politicians can deal with
from a position of strength, rather than vice versa--an American army that
achieves victory will have more allies than it knows what to do with. Go to
Berlin if Berlin is the problem. Confront the Soviets if the Soviets are the
problem. Don’t refuse to take Berlin and then try to negotiate with the
Soviets over Berlin. Hesitancy does not earn advantage. Similarly in Iraq
today: If our goal is to give President Bush leverage with the Europeans and
the tyrannical Middle East, then we should continue to destroy the power of the
insurgency in Iraq, proving to friends and enemies alike the consequences and
advantages of American power. “Always
Audacity” In matters of tactics, Patton was famous for
believing that American armies, being militias of the season, were not equipped
immediately to go head-to-head in hard slogging with veteran professional militaries
such as the German Wehrmacht of World Wars I and II. Speed, victory and
firepower were our forte, not slow wars of attrition. Patton had nothing to do
with the three greatest American disasters in the European theater in World War
II--Market Garden, the Hürtgen Forest and the Ardennes--and expressed
worries over our response in all three instances, inasmuch as Allied
countermeasures offered few avenues for mobility and attack on the flank. Patton grasped that air power had revolutionized armored
warfare, a sort of mobile infantry at the beck and call of land forces. Thus
the old infantry doctrine--that the infantry incrementally goes ahead to clear
mines and pockets of resistance, and then the tanks follow, fanning out in a
large triangle with the flanks protected--was a recipe for disaster: It meant
that the enemy might retreat on a broad front--as the deflation of the bulge in
January 1945 attests--harvesting a continuing crop of frontline troops. His
idea was rather to have rapid armored wings sweep out, bypass points of
resistance, and cause psychological turmoil from the rear that could collapse
enemy fronts. American Sherman tanks--poorly armed and protected--nevertheless
were faster, lighter, used less fuel and were more easily maintained than
German armor. Speed, audacity and numbers might allow them to achieve results
impossible even for their individually superior German counterparts. The way
war had evolved in 1944 made this possible: Sherman tanks had radios that were
connected with airborne P-47 anti-tank dive-bombers--tactical air power now
being worth an entire armored division in Patton’s eyes. When Patton went operational on August 1, 1944, he
traveled nearly 400 miles in little more than 30 days. Bradley and Eisenhower
complained that he was bypassing resistance, was violating pre-Normandy
planning, and was not part of the strategic effort to hit German industrial
centers in the Ruhr. Patton answered back that his success was having a
psychological effect in causing the collapse of entire armies and offering new
potential alternatives--with only brief windows for critical exploitation that
might change accepted realities and vault the Allies across the Rhine before
the shortened days, poor weather, stiffening German resistance and extended
Allied supply lines could come into play to stifle the American advance by
autumn. His lesson? When there is an opportunity for exploitation--one quarter
of Fallujah taken or Mr. Sadr reeling--hesitancy and conventional thinking can
forfeit unforeseen advantages and offer a collapsing enemy a reprieve that will
end up costing far more casualties later. Beware of a false sense of
forbearance that can turn deadly. Patton had two phrases that he used almost ad
nauseum. The first,
from Danton, was: “Audacity, always audacity, still more audacity.”
The second was “the unforgiving minute,” a phrase from Kipling that
referred to certain times in war when the collective will of a people or an
army can without warning collapse--critical moments that must be capitalized
on. Unlike Eisenhower and Bradley, who thought the August 1944 collapse of the
German army was likely and thus the war would end before Christmas, Patton knew
that if the Panzers were saved from near death, they could be ready to kill
again and under far more favorable circumstances. That is exactly what happened
at the Falaise Gap. Later at the Seine River, near the Siegfried Line, and when
attacking the Bulge, Patton saw that a sweeping hook, rather than a head-on
assault, might bring on a total collapse, but only if risks were taken and old
plans ignored in light of new realities. Again, the conservative, doctrinaire
approach of cautious attack proved the far more costly tactic. These lessons also apply in recent times. In the
first Gulf War, Saddam put almost 250,000 Iraqi troops in bunkers in the sand,
and even after weeks of U.S. bombing they were still operational. In response,
General Schwarzkopf marched hundreds of miles around the flank, leaving many of
the entrenched Iraqi positions behind and headed toward Basra, his long flanks
covered by air support. But although we copied Patton’s tactics, we
forgot their purpose--stopping at the so-called Highway of Death because of the
television images of “thousands” of enemy dead. Pentagon staffers
worried at the time that 20,000 enemy soldiers had been killed, thus causing a
global uproar. We know now that the real number was in the hundreds--and that
when we stopped before Basra, fleeing Iraqis did not, and they killed thousands
of mostly defenseless Shiites and Kurds over the next few weeks. And over the
next 12 years, Anglo-American pilots flew thousands of missions in the Iraq
no-fly zones, all as a precursor to the second Iraq war. In short, we forgot
Patton’s most important lesson: the purpose of outflanking the enemy
is to demoralize and annihilate the enemy, thus removing the reasons to go to
war in the first place. In the 2003 Iraq War, on the other hand, Americans
drove 400 miles from the Kuwaiti front up to Kurdistan, often bypassing
resistance on the way to Baghdad. Never has an armored column traveled so
quickly with so few casualties. It was comparable to Patton’s march from
Normandy to the Siegfried Line. And the same institutionalized army critics of
such Patton-like tactics emerged, decrying vulnerable flanks, oblivious to the
protection offered by 1,000 planes in the sky. Indeed, Patton was often evoked
as we moved quickly, creating conditions of shock and awe, demoralizing the
enemy who crumbled and fled. But again, these are fluid, not permanent,
situations. If an enemy is demoralized but not destroyed, he may well come back
encouraged and with less respect, interpreting magnanimity as weakness or
incompetence. Fallujah and Najaf are proof enough of the tragedy that can follow
when a defeated enemy is not completely crushed. Mobilizing Public Support
Finally, Patton had very strong views about the
character of the American soldier. On the one hand, he appreciated that
Americans grew up driving cars, that they were mechanical and practical, that
they were highly individualistic, that they liked to move, that they were
restless--thus that they were ideally suited for mechanized warfare. Yet he
conceded that Americans also had a limited attention span, easily became
impatient, were averse to standing in place, and required constant
encouragement about the larger purposes that had brought them so far from home. Patton’s own
general sense was that his Third Army took greater casualties when immobile,
not simply because of stiffening enemy resistance, but also because his
soldiers were singularly ill-equipped for a war requiring rote, method and
patience. In the present context Patton would advise us, in view of our
national character, to be constantly on the advance, seeking to surprise and
storm enemies rather than being merely reactive. If we are in a real war,
Americans must move quickly on Fallujah and Najaf rather than
“contain” such “no-go” zones. Syria and Iran should be
warned that their continued sanctuary and aid to terrorists are synonymous with
a state of war with the U.S. Patton would advise us that static occupation,
negotiations with undefeated insurgents, and mild rebukes to neighboring
terrorist sponsors are not only futile, but against the American character of
decisive advance and unconditional surrender once war is upon us. Patton was sometimes asked where he was going. Berlin
was always his answer, along with quips about Hitler soon to be in chains. This
was no mere braggadocio, but revealed strategic insight that there could be
nothing less than unconditional surrender, the occupation of the enemy
heartland, and the humiliation accruing from taking the German
Führer--that only in that way might Nazism be discredited. We bristle at
such Manichaeism in the present postmodern war, forgetting that we shall not be
through with Islamic fascism until the governments of Iran and Syria cease
their support, al-Qaedists are killed or in cuffs, and the greater Middle East
autocracies are terrified of offering succor to terrorist offshoots. Anything
less as our goal and we will be in a perpetual quagmire of reactive warfare. Like Thucydides, Patton appreciated that the emotions
that sophisticated people sometimes think are so unimportant--such as fear,
pride and honor--are in fact what drive us humans, and therefore must be
addressed in any total war. We chuckle at his attention to dress, protocol,
medals, speeches and theatrics; but this obsession was not vanity as much as
recognition that soldiers are proud and sensitive beings, and must be rewarded
and punished in visible ways, war being the essence of human emotion. By the
same token, military operations are more than just ground taken and held. They
are powerfully symbolic, conveying to third parties either hope or dejection when
they see armies routed from the battlefield. Today, millions in the Islamic world are watching the
West struggle against Islamic fascism. Perhaps deep down inside they prefer,
logically and with some idealism, to live under Western-style freedom and democratic
auspices. And yet nationalism, pride, religion and ethnic solidarity war with
reason, combining to produce far greater resentment against a powerful America,
even when it brings the very freedom that the Arabs for decades have said they
wished. A modern Patton would not be bothered by such inconsistency. Rather he
would make sure that he had not only defeated the terrorists and their
supporters, but had done so in such damaging fashion that none in the Middle
East might find such a repugnant cause at all romantic, bringing as it did
utter ruin as the wage of the wrath of the United States. Patton, who was both
learned and yet not smug about the power of the primordial emotions, understood
perfectly the irrational nature of warfare and the effect that utter defeat or
glorious victory has upon an otherwise rational people. No wonder he hated war
defined as a purely bureaucratic enterprise or a purely material and industrial
challenge, inasmuch as neither can change the hearts of men that need to be changed.
Instead, they usually increase the body count and rarely lead to lasting peace.
We should remember wild-eyed George Patton in our Fallujahs to come. * “The secret of my
success is that at an early age I discovered I was not God.” --Oliver Wendell
Holmes Jr. |
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